摘要
本文通过理论分析与实证检验探究金融结构、产业结构与经济增长的关系,通过理论分析可知:在经济发展的每个时期都存在产业结构和金融结构协调点,此时经济增速最快;经济发展不同时期的产业结构发生演变,促使金融结构随之改变,重新与产业结构相协调带动经济重回最快增长点。通过面板VAR模型和面板固定效应模型的实证检验可知:产业结构对金融结构具有影响和推动作用,也即产业结构发展需要合适的金融结构支持,且我国第二产业和第三产业均具有市场主导型金融结构需求;金融结构只有与产业结构相协调,才能够促进经济增长,当前我国第二产业与金融结构协调配合促进了经济增长,而第三产业与金融结构的非协调发展对经济增长起到反向作用。
This article explores the relationship between financial structure,industrial structure,and economic growth through theoretical analysis and empirical testing.Through theoretical analysis,we can see that there are coordination points between industrial structure and financial structure in each period of economic development,and economic growth is fastest at this time;the evolution of industrial structure in different periods of economic development prompts the corresponding change of financial structure,and brings the economy back to the fastest growth point in coordination with industrial structure again.Through the empirical tests of the panel VAR model and the panel fixed effect model,we can see that the industrial structure has an influence and promotion on the financial structure,that is,the development of the industrial structure requires appropriate financial structure support,and China’s secondary and tertiary industries are market-led Demand for a large-scale financial structure;only when the financial structure is coordinated with the industrial structure can economic growth be promoted.At present,the coordination between the secondary industry and the financial structure promotes the economic growth in China,while the non-coordinated development between the tertiary industry and the financial structure plays a reverse role in the economic growth.
作者
李成
刘子扣
Li Cheng;Liu Zikou(不详)
出处
《经济问题探索》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第1期1-12,共12页
Inquiry Into Economic Issues
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“新形势下货币政策传导缓阻的成因、监测与对策研究”(17BJY193),项目负责人:李成
关键词
金融结构
产业结构
经济增长
Financial structure
Industrial structure
Economic growth
