摘要
现阶段中国就业总量压力不减、结构性矛盾凸显,做好稳就业工作刻不容缓。随着全球经济政策不确定性指数不断上升,中国面临的外部环境发生了深刻变化。中国在世界经济的深度融入使得国际经济政策不确定性对中国经济发展的溢出效应愈发明显。本文基于2000~2007年中国制造业企业面板数据探讨了国际经济政策不确定性对中国就业的溢出效应,旨在为中国实现就业的稳定性和高质量就业提供政策建议。研究发现:国际经济政策不确定性提高会通过出口贸易和外商直接投资机制致使中国就业规模下降。劳动密集型行业企业、出口企业和国有企业的就业更易受到国际经济政策不确定性的不利冲击。此外,国际经济政策不确定性提升对中国就业质量和结构也产生了负面影响,导致企业平均工资降低,性别就业差距增加。
At the present stage,China’s total employment pressure remains unabated and structural problems are prominent.As the index of global economic policy uncertainty continues to rise,the external environment China faced has undergone profound changes.China’s deep integration into the world economy makes the spillover effect of international economic policy uncertainty on China’s economic development more obvious.Based on the panel data of Chinese manufacturing enterprises from 2000 to 2007,this paper aims to discuss the spillover effect of international economic policy uncertainty on employment in China,so that we can provide policy suggestions to achieve employment stability and high-quality employment in China.The study finds that the increase of international economic policy uncertainty will lead to the decrease of employment in China through the mechanism of exports and foreign direct investment.Employment in labor-intensive enterprises,export enterprises and state-owned enterprises is more vulnerable to the adverse impact of international economic policy uncertainty.In addition,the increased uncertainty of international economic policies has also had a negative impact on the quality and structure of employment in China,resulting in lower average wages and an increasing gender employment gap.
作者
程诺
蒋灵多
Nuo Cheng;Lingduo Jiang
出处
《产业经济评论（山东）》
2019年第3期155-177,共23页
Review of Industrial Economics
基金
“对外经济贸易大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助”(18QD05).
关键词
国际经济政策不确定性
就业规模
就业质量
就业结构
International Economic Policy Uncertainty
Employment Scale
Employment Quality
Employment Structure
