摘要
自2011年中东剧变发生以来,中东地区就一直处于冲突激化、战乱不断的状态。尽管阿拉伯民众要求一个更合理的制度是应该给予肯定的正当诉求,但是其中也裹挟夹杂着外部干预、民族矛盾和教派冲突的成分。陷入政治转型和道路探索的中东国家所经历的动荡到底是民主变革萌芽起步阶段必经的阵痛,还是部分阿拉伯国家民主化进程中主体指向明晰的螺旋式前进,时至今日仍难断定。毫无疑问,中东剧变给本就高烧不退的地区局势“火上浇油”,同时也引发自冷战结束以来地区格局和国际关系最剧烈的分化改组。
Since the upheaval in2011,the Middle East has been in a state of intensified conflict and constant warfare.Although the Arab people’s demand for a more reasonable system is a legitimate one that should be affirmed,it is also mixed with external interventions,ethnic contradictions and sectarian conflicts.It is still difficult to determine whether the turmoil experienced by countries caught in the midst of political transition and road exploration is a necessary pain in the nascent stage of democratic reform or a spiral of some arab countries’democratization with a clear direction of the subject.There is no doubt that the upheaval in the Middle East has added fuel to the already high fever in the region and triggered the most drastic reorganization of the regional pattern and international relations since the end of the Cold War.
出处
《国别和区域研究》
2021年第2期156-175,186,共21页
Journal of International and Regional Studies
基金
中国社会科学院“登峰战略”重点学科(2017DFZDQQY02)
创新工程“中国周边外交战略”项目(2020QQYB05)阶段性成果
关键词
美俄博弈
极端组织
地区强国
土耳其
大国外交
U.S.-Russian Game
Extremist Groups
Regional Powers
Turkey
Great Power Diplomacy
