摘要
随着陕西省西安市新一线城市的确立和人才引进等计划的实施,将会引起居民用电量大幅增长,明确其增长动因及未来增长潜力对电力供应企业把控市场变化具有重要的参考价值.通过统计计算2010年至2016年陕西省人均住房面积、城镇化进程、常住人口以及居民用电量等相关数据,采用LMDI法分析了陕西省居民生活用电量增长动因,由分解结果可知,用电习惯、居住条件改善、城镇化进程、人口增长4个方面,对陕西省居民用电增长分别贡献了18.39%、52.51%、13.84%、15.26%,可以看出居住条件和用电习惯为重要影响因素.
With establishment of Xi'an as a new first-tier city and implementation of the talent introduction program.the electricity consumption of residents increases significantly in Shaanxi Province.Therefore it is of important reference value for power supply enterprises to master market changes by defining the drivers of electricity consumption growth and by identifying the growth potential.Based on the statistical calculation of the per capita housing area,urbanization process,resident population and resident electricity consumption in Shaanxi Province from 2010 to 2016,this paper uses the LMDI method to analyze the growth motivation of resident electricity consumption.From the decomposition results,it is found that electricity consumption habit,living conditions improvement,urbanization process and population growth contribute by 18.39%,52.51%,13.84%and 15.26%respectively to the growth of residential electricity consumption in Shaanxi Province and the living conditions and electricity consumption habit are more important factors.
作者
李永毅
石蓉
郎锐
王开艳
贾嵘
杨海波
LI Yongyi;SHI Rong;LANG Rui;WANG Kaiyan;JIA Rong;YANG Haibo(State Grid Shaanxi Electric Power Company,Xian 710048,Shaanxi,China;State Grid Shaanxi Electric Power Research Institute,Xi’an 710054,Shaanxi,China;Xi’an University of Technology,xian 710048,Shaanxi,China)
出处
《电网与清洁能源》
2019年第6期40-45,共6页
Power System and Clean Energy
基金
国家电网重点课题(2601000249)
陕西省科技厅重点研发计划项目(2018ZDXM-GY-169)
西安市科技局“智慧能源重点实验室”科技创新平台建设项目(201805057ZD8CG41)~~
关键词
居民用电
因素分解
LMDI分解法
十三五规划
electricity consumption of residents
factordccom-position
LMDI decomposition method
Thirteenth Five-year Plan
