摘要
介绍了气象服务效益评估工作在国内外的发展概况,列举了气象服务效益评估过程所涉及的社会效益、经济效益等方面的评估理论和技术方法,给出了我国气象服务效益评估领域中的成果,尤其是中国气象局公共气象服务中心成立(2008年)后,气象服务评估方面的业务进展和成果,同时展望了气象服务效益评估相关工作。指出,在理论上,气象服务效益评估理论和技术方法急需充实和完善,气象服务效益评估涉及多学科多领域,需要数理统计学和社会学等学科理论和技术方法的支撑;在业务上,气象服务效益评估业务除了和国际接轨之外,还需要有中国气象本身的属性和特征,应该拥有长、中、短期各种产品;为此人才队伍建设显得愈发重要。
The evolution situation and the prospect about the weather service benefit assessment (shorten as WSBA) is introduced in this paper. The theories and techniques about WRBA concerned with social benefit and economic benefit are exhibited. The achievements on WSBA, especially after the foundation of the CMA Public Weather Service in 2008, are showed. It is indicated that the theory and the technique of WSBA need to be added and perfected because WSBA covers multi-subjects such as mathematics, statistics, sociology and so on. It also shows that WSBA ought to develop various WSBA products, taking into account the weather service features in China. Therefore, more attention must be drawn theoretically and practically, and the talented people are urgently needed.
出处
《气象科技进展》
2012年第3期39-44,共6页
Advances in Meteorological Science and Technology
基金
公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201106037)
国家软科学(2011GXQ4B026)
气象软科学研究项目[2012]第033号
关键词
气象服务
效益评估
进展
weather services, benefits evaluation, advance
