摘要
世纪之交，世界首次出现两种相互矛盾的新趋势：一是国际关系伙伴化，二是美日双边同盟地区化与北约地区军事集团全球化。这一矛盾的发展，将决定今后１０年大国关系与国际格局的演变方向：是多种力量作为伙伴共建协调合作体系，还是美国单极主宰或美欧日合霸，或是多极鼎...
Abstract At the
turn of the century, it occurs two contradictory tendencies: one is the partnership trend, the other
is the regionalization of U.S-Japanese alliance and globalization of NATO's military concerns.
This, in essence, reflects a contradiction between the United States who attempts to dominate
the world alone and those countries who seeks to build a multi-polarized world. Last year,
China, the United States, Russia and Japan reached, for the first time, a consensus on forging
“partnerships” between each other and define their relationship from a strategic perspective
as non-hostile. However, the regionalization of U.S.-Japanese alliance and the globalization of
NATO's military concerns are easy to incur wars of the strong abusing the weak and check the
partnership trend. NATO's air strikes on Yugoslavia is the first step of NATO's globalization of
its military concerns. Once the strategic balance in Northeast Asia is broken, the possibility of
US' resorting to forces against North Korea will increase. The strategic framework with the
military alliance as the core and the big-power partnerships as the surrounding structure is
unstable. Once the “core” expands and exceeds the pressure that the surrounding structure
can bear, the big-power partnerships will crack from the most vulnerable link. The interior
motive force to maintain the military alliance is the exterior threats, therefore, tensions may be
intentionally stirred up and overestimated in order to consolidate the alliance. If the
regionalization of bilateral alliance transcends the principle of self-defense, it will further the
probability of being involved in the international conflicts and pose a threat on neighbouring
countries. In this context, to safeguard and promote equal partnerships in the world scene
should become a guiding strategy on security and diplomacy for those responsible nations in
the 21st century.
出处
《现代国际关系》
CSSCI
北大核心
1999年第4期2-7,48,共7页
