摘要
选取甘肃省1990—2011年统计数据,基于扩展的STIRPAT模型对影响甘肃省碳排放的主要因素进行了实证研究。研究结果表明:劳动年龄人口对碳排放的驱动力最为显著;产业结构和人口城市化水平为第二、第三驱动力;单纯的人口规模对碳排放的作用次之;人均财富的影响最为轻微。能源消费强度为碳排放的负向影响因素,但作用不显著。针对各因素对碳排放的影响,提出了相关的政策建议。
Based on the statistics on Gansu province collected in 1990-2011 and by means of STIRPAT model,this research has examined the main factors affecting carbon emissions in Gansu province.The result shows that the working-age population is the significant driving force for carbon emissions,followed by industrial structure and the urbanization of population;population size resides secondly,and the least influential factor is wealth per capita.Energy consumption intensity is a negative factor for carbon emissions,but in an insignificant way.Suggestions are made for policy makers based on the analysis of different factors influencing carbon emissions.
出处
《兰州大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第1期127-132,共6页
Journal of Lanzhou University（Social Sciences）
基金
兰州大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项基金(12LZUJBWYB061)
