摘要
基于1999—2010年省级面板数据,利用空间面板回归和门槛面板回归模型探讨财政支农增长的空间外溢性及门槛效应,结果表明:财政支农增长和农民人均纯收入增长并非是随机的,而是存在着较强的空间集聚性特征,财政支农增长对农民人均收入增长存在着空间外溢性。同时,财政支农增长对农民人均纯收入增长存在着门槛效应,财政支农效应随着地区国内生产总值增长率和财政支农增长率的提高而呈现下降趋势。
Based on the 1999—2010 provincial panel data,the space spillover of the effect of financial support for agriculture and threshold effect are explored by space panel regression and threshold panel regression model in the paper. Results show that fiscal support’s growth for the agriculture and per capita net income of farmers’ growth is not random,but there are strong spatial agglomeration feature. The space spillover effect exists the finance support’s growth for agriculture and farmers’ per capita income growth,which explains that there is space unbalanced distribution in certain degree. There are some threshold effects betw een fiscal support’s growth for agriculture and per capita net income of farmers’ growth,the effect of fiscal support for agriculture will go trend lower with the rising of regional GDP growth rate and growth rate of financial support of agriculture.
出处
《财贸研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第5期62-69,共8页
Finance and Trade Research
关键词
财政支农
农民人均纯收入
空间外溢性
门槛效应
financial support for agriculture
per capita net income of farmers
space spillover
threshold effect
