摘要
中国和美国对双边贸易不平衡额问题的估计存在着很大的分歧,这种分歧已逐渐成为双边贸易摩擦的主要根源之一。2002年中国数据显示对美贸易顺差为427亿美元,而美国数据显示对华贸易逆差为1031亿美元,二者的差距高达604亿美元,那么哪组数据是正确的呢?我们认为二者都不完全准确。本文对中美贸易不平衡问题从计价方法、香港转口贸易、服务贸易、加工贸易等多个角度进行了实证分析,并在此基础上对不平衡额数据提供了估计。
China and the United States have vastly different official estimates of the bilateral trade imbalance, which has been one of the main sources in bilateral trade friction gradually. Chinese figures show that China had a merchandise trade surplus of US$ 42.7 billion versus the United States in 2002, whereas the U.S. figures show that the U.S. had a merchandise trade deficit of US$ 103.1 billion versus China. Two margins was up to US$ 604 billion. Which set of figures is right? It turns out that neither side is completely accurate. In this paper, we analyze this problem from several aspects such as pricing method, re-exports trade in Hong Kong, service trade, processing trade, and provide more accurate estimate of imbalance figures.
出处
《中国软科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2004年第8期74-78,33,共6页
China Soft Science
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(70172028)
