摘要
本文以人口(Population)、资源(Resource)、经济(Economy)、环境(Environment)和科技(Science＆Technolo gy)为核心,构造了PREEST系统模型。以PREEST系统为对象,运用主成分分析法对1987-2001年度中国的可持续发展水平进行了综合评价;借助多目标规划理论,构建了中国可持续发展多目标集成模型,并以"十五"计划纲要为基准,开展了中国可持续发展规划研究的实证分析。在此基础上,通过对"十五"期间中国可持续发展传统模式和规划模式的对比分析,就中国人口、资源、经济、环境和科技等领域的协调发展提出了政策建议。
The PREEST system model has been put forward based on the population,resource,economy,envi-ronment and science&technology.Then,the integrated evaluation of the sustainable development level in China has been completed during1987～2001by dint of the principal component analysis.At the same time,a multi-objective integrated model for the sustainable development of China has been formulated according to the theory of the multi-objective programming,and a demonstration analysis about the programming research of Chinese sustainable development is introduced with the goal of Chinese10 th Five-Year Plan.Finally,some advice has been given based on the contrast analysis between the traditional development mode and the programming devel-opment mode.
出处
《中国管理科学》
CSSCI
2004年第5期91-96,共6页
Chinese Journal of Management Science
基金
"十五"国家科技攻关计划重点项目(2001-BA608B-15)
