摘要
本文介绍了解决呈波动现象的系统预测方法──动态时间序列预测模型，简称ＤＭ模型．阐述了ＤＭ模型的建立，参数辩识，模型求解和应用方法．为经济领域波动现象的预测提供了一种新方法．
A system forecasting method for solving the undulatory problem-dynamic tims series forecasting model (DM) is pasented in this paper. The building of DM model, the discriminating parameters, model salving and its applications are introduced and a new method for the undulatory phenomena forecasting in the field of erenomics is provided.
关键词
DM模型
动态时间序列
预测
model
forecast
economic forecasting
undulatory phenomena
