摘要
不完全信息条件下传统情报研究方法面临巨大挑战,在这种背景下情景分析越来越被国内外学者所重视。本文从情景观出发,创造性地提出情景分析的核心思想——大情景图式,并在该模式下,构造出了一个信息分析模型。最后针对如何实施情景分析给出了一个解决方案。
The traditional intelligence analysis method is confronted with great challenges under the incomplete information conditions, while scenario analysis is attracting more and more attention of both domestic and foreign scholars. Based on the scenario viewpoint, this paper creatively puts forward a big scenario schema which is the core idea of scenario analysis, and then constructs a new information analysis model. Finally, the paper discusses how to perform scenario analysis in practice.
出处
《情报理论与实践》
CSSCI
北大核心
2008年第4期495-497,501,共4页
Information Studies:Theory & Application
关键词
不完全信息
情景分析法
信息分析
incomplete information
scenario analysis method
information analysis
