摘要
本文综合运用回归分析和时间序列分析法,从不同角度较全面地考察了我国区域经济增长收敛问题。计量结果表明:改革开放以来,我国各省区的经济增长不存在收敛趋势,但东、中、西部三大经济带内基本上可以认为存在具有不同稳定性的"收敛俱乐部"现象,即东部经济带存在稳定的收敛趋势,任何外部冲击都应该是暂时的,而中、西部经济带却经常会由于外部冲击而随时可能呈现发散。
This paper synthetically applies regression method and time-series method to analyze regional economic growth and convergence in China from different perspectives. The result indicates that regional economic growth in China doesn＇t take on convergence trend since reform and opening-up, yet basically having formed ＂different stable convergence clubs＂ within the three economic belts of eastern, central and western regions, i.e. the eastern economic belt has a stable convergence trend; any external shock should be temporary, while the central and western economic belts often take on divergent trend as a result of external shock.
出处
《统计教育》
2008年第9期52-55,64,共5页
Statistical education
基金
全国统计科学研究计划项目(2007LY001)
关键词
区域经济
经济收敛
面板单位根
regional economy
economic convergence
panel-data unit root
