摘要
从水资源承载力的研究方法入手,采用系统动力学方法进行水资源承载力定量化计算,在对博尔塔拉河流域地理环境现状和该方法建模思路分析的基础上,建立适合该地区特色的系统动力学模型(简称SD模型)。应用Venism软件,把各参数代入方程,对博尔塔拉河流域水资源利用和需求进行动态计算。通过对模型计算结果的分析,验证了模型的合理性和可操作性,从而为博尔塔拉河流域水资源承载力的进一步研究提供了必要的手段,也为其他区域的水资源可持续利用研究提供了一定的借鉴。
According to the methods of Water Resources Carrying Capacity, the programming method is adopted combining the quantitative calculation with the system dynamics method. Based on the analysis of modeling ideas and the geographic environment situation in Bortala River Basin, the SD model （abbreviation of System Dynamics Model） is established, By applying vensim modeling software to dynamically simulate the water resources utilization and demands through adding the parameters into equations, the results proves that it is feasible to analysis water resource carrying capacity based on SD model in Bortala River Basin. This provides the necessary means to study on water resources carrying capacity in Bortala River Basin. And it has offered certain reference and suggestion for the sustainable utilization research of regional water resources and sustainable development of the society.
出处
《新疆环境保护》
2008年第3期4-8,共5页
Environmental Protection of Xinjiang
关键词
博尔塔拉河流域
水资源承载力
系统动力学模型
Bortala River Basin
water resources carrying capacity
system dynamics model
