摘要
根据灰色模型和ARIMA模型的特点,建立综合灰色和ARIMA的变权组合电力负荷预测模型,提出负荷高峰月的概念,并通过对保定用电量进行实例验算,证明了该模型的先进性和可靠性。
According to characteristics of gray model and ARIMA model,the paper builds forecast model of GM(1,1)and ARIMA based on the composition of the variable weights.Based on the concept of peak load,the verification example test and calculation of Baoding proves the advance and reliability of the model.
出处
《河北电力技术》
2007年第S1期21-24,共4页
Hebei Electric Power
