基于VAR模型的上证指数量价关系的实证研究
被引量:1
摘要
本文通过方差分解和脉冲响应对上证指数交易量与价格之间的关系进行实证分析,发现两者之间存在长期均衡关系,但交易量在一定程度上具有外生性。股价对交易量冲击的反应非常微弱,交易量对股价变化的贡献率也相当有限;而交易量对股价冲击的反应相对较强,股价对交易量变化的贡献率也相对较高。
出处
《中国物价》
2009年第5期48-51,共4页
China Price
参考文献12
-
1Hafner,C.M; Herwartz,H. Structural analysis of portfolio risk using beta impulse response functions[J]. Statistica Neerlandica, Nov98, Vol. 52 Issue 3, p336, 20p.
-
2Stock Market, Interest Rate and Output: A Model and Estimation for US Time Series Data [J]. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Apr2002, Vol. 6 Issue 1, p1, 38p.
-
3Chan, Shih-Ju; Lin, Ching-Chung; Hsu, Hsinan. Do Different Futures Contracts in One Stock Exchange Have The Same Price Discovery Capability? Empirical Study of Taiwan Futures Exchange [J]. Journal of Financial Management & Analysis, Jan-Jun2004, Vol. 17 Issue 1, p34-44, 11p, 5 charts, 1 graph.
-
4Verma, Raul; Soydemir, G?k?e. The Impact of U.S. Individual and Institutional Investor Sentiment on Foreign Stock Markets[J]. Journal of Behavioral Finance,2006, Vol. 7 Issue 3, p128-144, 17p, 5 charts, 5 graphs.
-
5Karagol, Erdal T.; Turhan, Aziz. External Debt,Defence Expenditures and Political Business Cycles in Turkey [J]. Defence & Peace Economics,Jun2008, Vol. 19 Issue 3, p217-224, 8p, 2 charts, 2 graphs.
-
6Smirlock, Michael; Starks, Laura. A Further Examination of Stock Price Changes and Trensaction Volume [J]. Journal of Financial Research, Fa1185, Vol. 8 Issue 3, p217, 9p.
-
7Maysami, Ramin Cooper; Koh, Tiong Sim. A vector error correction model of the Singapore stock market [J]. International Review of Economics & Finance. 2000, Vol. 9 Issue 1, p79, 18p.
-
8Lee.I.H.Market crashes and informational avalanches[J].Review of E-conomic Studies,1998,65 (4):741-759.
-
9蒋祥林,王春峰,吴晓霖.中国股市信息流、波动性与交易量关系[J].系统工程理论方法应用,2005,14(1):5-10. 被引量:6
-
10王燕辉,王凯涛.股市交易量与收益率的关联分析[J].系统工程,2005,23(1):59-62. 被引量:15
二级参考文献55
-
1[1]KARPOFF J M.The relation between price changes and trading volume:a survey[J ].Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,1987,22(1):109-126.
-
2[2]CLARK P K.A subordinated stochastic process model with finite variance for speculative prices[J].Econometric 1973,41(1):135-155.
-
3[3]EPPS T W.Security price changes and transaction volumes:some additional evidence[J].Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,1977,12 (3):141-146.
-
4[4]SMIRLOCK M,STARTKS L.An empirical analysis of the stock prices and trading volume[J].Journal of Banking and Finance,1988,(12):269-283.
-
5[5]GALLANT A,RONAL,PETER E.Stock price and volume[J].Review of Financial Studies,1992,(5):199-242.
-
6[6]WANG J.A model of competitive stock trading volumes[J].Journal of Political Economy,1994,(102):127-168.
-
7[7]ADMATI A,PFLEIDERER P.A theory of intraday patterns:volume and price variability[J].The Review of Financial Studies,1988,(1):3-40.
-
8[8]SHALEN C T.Volume,volatility,and the dispersion of beliefs[J].Review of Financial Studies,1993,(6):405-434.
-
9[9]HARRIS L.Cross-security tests of the mixture of distribution hypothesis[J].Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,1986,(21):39-46.
-
10[15]THOMAS W.The stochastic dependence of security price changes and transaction volumes:implications for the mixture of distributions hypothesis[ J ].Econometrica,1976,(44):211-305.
共引文献21
-
1胡阳,赵惠萍.中国证券成交量实证研究的发展和评价[J].华北金融,2006(8):29-32.
-
2苏敬勤,宋华东,姜照华.基于前景理论的资产证券化投资模型及模拟分析[J].大连理工大学学报(社会科学版),2009,30(4):1-4. 被引量:1
-
3张永冀,汪昌云,华晨.历史价量信息在价格发现中更有效吗?——基于中国证券市场的数据分析[J].中国管理科学,2013,21(S1):346-354. 被引量:6
-
4陈灿平,刘武.上海股票市场收益率与成交量因果关系研究[J].经济经纬,2007,24(2):140-143. 被引量:4
-
5刘波,曾勇,李平.基于连续双向拍卖的金融市场微观结构研究综述[J].管理工程学报,2007,21(2):19-28. 被引量:3
-
6夏天.基于CARR模型的交易量与股价波动性动态关系的研究[J].数理统计与管理,2007,26(5):887-895. 被引量:18
-
7李其德,王军.沪市成交量波动率及其对收益率的影响[J].统计与决策,2008,24(4):125-127. 被引量:2
-
8张超,梁立,高炜.基于二元关系模型的个股交易量转移分析[J].昆明学院学报,2008,30(4):26-29.
-
9许忠宇.交易量与价格波动关系的动态分析[J].科技信息,2010(31):183-184.
-
10易文德.基于Copula函数模型的股市交易量与股价相依关系[J].系统工程,2010,28(10):36-41. 被引量:17
-
1綦天正,康永君.理财[J].新世纪周刊,2008,0(21):106-107.
-
2陈收,李双飞,黎传国.订单差、交易量变化对股票价格的冲击[J].管理科学学报,2010,13(9):68-75. 被引量:16
-
3刘泽仁.中国远期利率协议(FRA)的交易情况[J].商业故事,2016,0(20):17-17. 被引量:1
-
4高小红,苏玮.股价波动、货币政策规则与宏观经济波动--基于多部门NK-DSGE模型的研究[J].经济评论,2017(2):76-85. 被引量:7
-
5赵静梅,何欣,吴风云.中国股市谣言研究:传谣、辟谣及其对股价的冲击[J].管理世界,2010,26(11):38-51. 被引量:77
-
6张宗新,潘志坚,季雷.内幕信息操纵的股价冲击效应:理论与中国股市证据[J].金融研究,2005(4):144-154. 被引量:58
-
7罗晶.由回购交易的市场分布看银行间债券市场机制建设[J].债券,2012(5):28-33. 被引量:1
-
8刘晓星,陈羽南.投资者风格与股票价格波动——基于中国股票市场的研究[J].东南大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2017,19(1):40-53. 被引量:8
-
9张根文,张王飞.盈利能力、环境执法与环保法律实施的股价冲击——基于新《环境保护法》出台的事件研究[J].贵州财经大学学报,2017(1):59-69. 被引量:21
-
10王慧敏,刘国光.股票收益和交易量变化动态相关性分析[J].数学的实践与认识,2006,36(9):70-75. 被引量:5