摘要
本文首先运用边际产业内贸易指数对2000~2007年中国的总体、水平型和垂直型产业内贸易水平分别加以测度,然后运用面板数据从国家特征角度对产业内贸易决定因素进行跨时期实证研究。结果表明:经济规模、外商直接投资和贸易不平衡是影响我国产业内贸易的主要国家特征因素,其中,经济规模与我国产业内贸易尤其是水平型产业内贸易呈正相关,且显著性有增强趋势;外商直接投与我国产业内贸易呈负相关,且影响程度有减弱趋势;贸易不平衡与我国总体、水平型和垂直型产业内贸易都呈明显负相关,且影响程度有增强趋势。另外,地理位置和政治文化因素对我国产业内贸易发展也有不容忽视的影响。
This paper first uses marginal index of intra-industry trade(IIT)to measure the level of IIT,horizontal IIT(HIIT)and vertical IIT(VIIT)from 2000 to 2007 in China,then makes inter-temporal empirical research on the determinants of IIT from the perspective of cross-country characteristic using panel data.The result indicates that scale of economy,foreign direct investment(FDI)and trade-imbalance are the main country-characteristic factors to influence China's IIT.Scale of economy has positive correlation with China's IIT especially HIIT and the significance increases.FDI has negative correlation with China's IIT and the significance decreases.Trade-imbalance has obvious negative correlation with IIT,HIIT and VIIT and the significance increases.Geographical position and political&cultural factors also have some influence on China's IIT.
出处
《世界经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第5期12-18,共7页
World Economy Studies
基金
教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目招标课题:"国际区域一体化比较研究"(项目批准号:05JJD790087)的研究成果