摘要
本文应用系统分析方法建立了大型水库汛限水位风险分析模型．并以三峡水库为研究对象，根据调度运行原则，计算出了不同汛限水位与最大洪灾风险率的关系，供决策者进行权衡比较，帮助决策者在认真分析比较的基础上作出符合科学原则的风险决策．
The paper applies the system analysis method to construct a flood season limit level risk analysis model of the reservoir. Taking Three Gorge reservoir as a case study, according to operation rule, we can effectively acquire the relationship between different flood season limit levels and maximum flood hazard risk rates. So the outcomes can provide decision makers with a trade off basis and help them make scientific risk decision.
出处
《水电能源科学》
1998年第2期12-15,共4页
Water Resources and Power
基金
国家自然科学基金
国家教委优秀年轻教师基金
关键词
汛限水位
最大洪灾
风险率
水库调度
flood season limit level
maximum flood hazard risk rate
reservoir operation
