摘要
统计1998-2008年我国毕业研究生人数数据,构建增长趋势数学模型,对数据进行拟合,以SSE,RSE,MAD,ARE判断拟合准确度。拟合结果提示目前毕业研究生人数增长过快,未来五年我国研究生毕业人数可能呈现平稳增长态势。
The paper constructs a mathematical model to fit the number of the graduated postgraduate during 1998 to 2008.SSE,RSE,MAD,and ARE are used to judge the accuracy of fit.The results suggests the current growth in the number of graduates is too speedy.The model forecasts a steady growth in the number of postgraduates in the following 5 years in China.
出处
《理工高教研究》
2010年第1期82-84,共3页
Journal of Technology College Education
关键词
毕业研究生人数
数学模型
模型拟合
推测
the number of postgraduate
mathematical model
model fit
presume
