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新中国60年人口发展轨迹:兼谈中国未来劳动力供给 被引量:5

The Trajectory of Population Development in the Past 60 Years in China:——And the Labor Supply in the Future
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摘要 在梳理新中国成立以来我国人口发展脉络的基础上,依据目前国内人口低生育率、低死亡率、低自然增长率,并且死亡率在低水平上出现反弹的事实,判断我国人口转变已经进入完成阶段。根据近几十年来中国劳动力供给的数量和质量,以及中国未来人口发展走势,指出中国无限劳动力供给的时代即将过去,随之而来的是劳动力短缺现象和人口老龄化社会。以更高质量的劳动力来弥补其未来数量的短缺,发展老龄产业,开发老年人力资源,调整和完善未来生育政策等是应对未来劳动力供给问题的有效措施。 Based on sorting out the trajectory of China's population development clearly,and judged by the low birth rate,low death rate,low growth rate and the death rate increasing at a low level in present China's demography ,China has completed its demographic transition.In this article,the quantity and the quality of China's labor supply in the past decades are studied,and on the basis of the future population developing trend in China,the limitless labor supply will become history,and what follows is labor shortage and population aging.Cultivating higher quality labor,developing aging human resources,and complementing birth policy are ways to solve the problem of labor supply in future.
作者 张彬斌
出处 《重庆理工大学学报(社会科学)》 CAS 2010年第8期33-38,共6页 Journal of Chongqing University of Technology(Social Science)
关键词 人口转变 劳动力供给 人口老龄化 demographic transition labor supply population aging
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