摘要
基于广义自回归条件异方差模型的理论,通过建立广义自回归条件异方差模型研究高血压月发病率和月平均气温之间的相互关系.文章通过EViews软件对青海省海西州地区高血压发病病例监测登记资料进行统计分析,并利用原数据建立广义自回归条件异方差模型,通过对模型中的残差序列进行独立性检验和预测,确定所建立的广义自回归条件异方差模型的合理性.
Based on the theory of GARCH,through the established GARCH model to study the relationship between hypertension incidences rate each month and average temperature.hypertension cases and registration data for Haixizhou region in Qinghai province were analyzed statistically with EViews software.Meanwhile,GARCH model was established using the original data,through independence test andforecast,ensured the rationality of the GARCH model which has been established.
出处
《西北民族大学学报（自然科学版）》
2010年第3期6-8,30,共4页
Journal of Northwest Minzu University(Natural Science)
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(60673192)
