摘要
介绍时间序列预测的一种重要模型布朗非线性指数平滑预测。以1999-2008年我国城镇居民个人平均收入为具体分析对象,建立模型并结合Excel及Eviews软件完成计算并检验过程,得出结论。布朗非线性指数平滑预测是一种可靠的具有高精度的短期或中期预测模型,最后用此方法来预测未来十年我国城镇居民收入。
As one of tile important time series forecasting models, Brown non-linear exl）onential smoothing forecast is introduced. Taking the data of average urban residents income from 1999 to 2008 as the analysis subiect, it establishes model and with Excel and Eviews completes the process of calculation and test to reach the conclusion that Brown linear exponential smoothing prediction is a reliable high-precision short-term or the medium-term forecasting, model. Finally, this method has been used to predict China＇s urban residents income in the next decade.
出处
《洛阳理工学院学报（自然科学版）》
2010年第4期56-58,64,共4页
Journal of Luoyang Institute of Science and Technology：Natural Science Edition
关键词
布朗非线性指数平滑
城镇居民收入
预测
Brown non-linear exponential smoothing
income of urban residents
prediction
