摘要
本文针对2007年以来我国农产品价格呈加速上涨趋势,探讨了引发我国农产品价格变动的主要因素,试图从需求与供给方面着手,分析影响农产品价格波动原因并进行实证检验。结果表明,以货币供应量和金融投机资本为代表的国内流动性过剩所引发的结构性通胀才是造成农产品价格波动的主要原因,而农产品自身的进出口需求和加工需求的影响一直很稳定,国内和国际石油价格上涨造成的成本增加以及国际食物价格指数对国内的预期上扬效应不是很明显。
Since there has been an increase trend of agricultural goods price in 2007,I make a discussion on major affecting factors leading agricultural goods price fluctuation.It turns out that,the structural inflation is the main reason,and it is caused by domestic liquidity surplus such as money supply and financial venture capital,and the increase in cost caused by an increase in domestic and international oil price,and expectation effect of international food price index on domestic market is not obvious.
出处
《现代财经（天津财经大学学报）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第5期41-47,共7页
Modern Finance and Economics：Journal of Tianjin University of Finance and Economics
关键词
国内农产品价格
流动性过剩
结构性通胀
Domestic Agricultural Goods Price
Liquidity Surplus
Structural Inflation
