摘要
本文以新型农村社会养老保险制度试点为宏观背景,对农村养老保险适度水平进行了测算。对养老保险适度水平理论进行了创新,提出了农村养老保险适度水平微观测度方法:以修正恩格尔系数为基础测度农村养老保险适度水平下限;以扩展性线性支出修正模型为基础测度农村养老保险适度水平上限。同时分别依据农村居民总支出和可支配收入、农村恩格尔系数及物价指数的历史变动趋势,预测了2010-2020年农村养老保险动态适度水平的上下限;提出了近期农村养老保险适度水平上下限的标准值,并对当前新农保的普惠制给付进行了评价。
This paper measures the rural endowment insurance level in the scheme of new rural social endowment insurance system. Pioneers the endowment insurance moderate level theory, suggests the micro- measurement method, measures the lower limit of rural endowment insurance moderate level based on the adjusted Engel~ Coefficient, and also measures the upper limit based on the adjusted ELES. This paper also forecasts the lower and upper limit of 2010 -2020 dynamic level based on rural family total expenditure and disposable income, rural Engel＇s Coefficient and price index; puts forward the standard value of rural endowment insurance level, and at last, appraises the Generalized System of Preferences of the new rural social endowment insurance system.
出处
《社会保障研究》
2011年第6期3-11,共9页
Social Security Studies
基金
国家社科基金重大项目"完善我国农村社会保障体系和提高社会保障水平研究"(09ZD023)
国家教育部人文社科一般项目"新型农村养老保险动态适度给付水平研究"(11YJCZH150)的阶段性成果
关键词
农村养老保险
适度水平
微观测度
动态调整
rural endowment Insurance, moderate level, micro - measurement, dynamic adjustment
