摘要
通过构建指标体系,以1978年至2010年为样本期,采用主成份分析法对我国城乡差距水平进行了测度,并对城乡差距水平的变化趋势进行了分析。研究结果表明:2005年以来我国城乡差距水平的确在逐步缩小,但原因在于中央的惠农政策改善了农村经济条件,比较参照变量的走势后可知,没有证据表明"刘易斯拐点"已经到来。
By constructing the index system and taking 1978-2010 as the sample period, this paper employs the principal component analysis method to measure the level of China＇s urban-rural gap and conducts an analysis of the trend of changes of the gap. The study results show that since 2005, the urban-rural gap has indeed been gradually narrowing, but the reason lies in the fact that the pref- erential agricultural policies of the central government have greatly improved the economic conditions in the rural areas. Compared with the trend of the reference variables, there is no evidence that the ＂Lewis turning point＂ has arrived.
出处
《当代财经》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第12期28-36,共9页
Contemporary Finance and Economics
基金
中国博士后科学基金项目(2012M520497)
关键词
劳动力转移
城乡差距
刘易斯拐点
labor transfer
gap between urban and rural areas
Lewis turning point
