摘要
本文以1992-2010年间陕西省GDP、陕美货物贸易以及美国在陕直接投资等数据为基础,通过对数据进行可比性处理、平稳性分析、协整分析、向量误差修正模型(VECM)分析、格兰杰因果关系检验,得出了陕美贸易、美国在陕直接投资与陕西经济增长之间存在着长期稳定的正向促进关系等四点结论,最后提出了以扩大对美经贸为抓手尽快提高陕西省经济外向度等四点措施建议。
Based on the data of Shaanxi provincial GDP, Chinese Shaanxi-U.S. trade as well as the U.S. FDI in Shaanxi from 1992 to 2010, this paper firstly conducts the comparability processing of data, stationary analysis, co-integration analysis, VECM analysis, Granger causality test, and then it concludes: there exists a long-run stable equilibrium relationship between Shaanxi-U.S. trade, the U.S. FDI in Shaanxi and Shaanxi provincial GDP growth. Finally, the author puts forward four measures aiming to expand bilateral trade and investment.
出处
《西安电子科技大学学报(社会科学版)》
CSSCI
2013年第3期98-106,共9页
Journal of Xidian University:Social Science Edition
关键词
陕美贸易
美国在陕投资
陕西经济增长
实证研究
Trade between Shaanxi and the U.S.
U.S. FDI in Shaanxi
Shaanxi provincial GDP growth
Empirical analysis