摘要
目的 探讨北京市手足口病发病空间分布特征,为手足口病预防控制提供理论依据.方法 利用SaTScan 9.0软件进行时空扫描分析,通过ArcGIS 9.3软件分析呈现北京市手足口病病例空间聚集区域.结果 2009-2012年北京市累计报告手足口病病例139 260例,年均发病率为187.43·10-5,总体呈现城区和近郊区发病密度高,远郊区县中心城区发病密度次之,农村发病密度低的特点.丰台区的丰台街道、新村、卢沟桥、花乡等街道,以及大兴区的黄村镇、西红门街道等区域存在手足口病发病最可能聚集区域.结论 2009-2012年北京市手足口病高发地区存在明显空间区域性.时空扫描分析方法结合地理信息系统可以很好地分析北京市手足口病高发重点区域,为手足口病防控提供技术支持.
Objective To examine the temporal and spatial distribution of hand-foot-mouth disease （HFMD） and provide evidence for disease prevention and control. Methods SaTScan 9.0 software was used to conduct space-time scan statistic, and the distribution and clusters of HFMD were showed by ArcGIS 9. 3 software. Results A total of 139 260 HFMD cases were reported from 2009 to 2012 in Beijing. The reported morbidity was 187.43 per 100 000. The results showed a higher incidence of HFMD in urban and inner suburb than the downtown of outer suburb, the rural areas with the lowest incidence. Conclusions The distribution of HFMD from 2009 to 2012 in Beijing is not random. There are significant clusters in space. Space-time scan statistic and GIS are fit to analyze the clusters of HFMD in Beijing. Useful informa- tion can be provided for future disease prevention and control.
出处
《国际病毒学杂志》
2013年第5期202-206,共5页
International Journal of Virology
基金
2010年北京市卫生局青年科研资助项目
关键词
手足口病
时空聚类分析
时空分析
Hand-foot-mouth disease
Space-time clustering
Spatial-temporal
