摘要
本文利用了新古典经济增长理论分析了我国 1978~ 1997年各省经济增长的收敛性 ,目的在于考察这段时期内造成各个地区经济增长率差异的原因 ,以及落后的省份是否具有赶上发达省份的内在能力。分析结果表明 :( 1)我国各省在上述时间内不存在绝对收敛 ,经济初始水平的差别无法解释各个地区经济增长率的差异 ;( 2 )各个地区之间存在条件收敛 ,收敛的条件包括市场化程度、实际利用外资、技术进步、出口、政府支出、固定资产投资效益、经济外向依存度、地理优势等八个方面。
The present article employs the neoclassical economic growth theory to test the convergence of the provinces in China from 1978 to 1997. The purpose is to investigate the factors that influence the differences of the economic growth rates of the provinces, and find out whether the developing economies can catch up with the developed economies automatically. The main founding reveals that: there is not any absolute convergence trend across the provinces in China, which means the differences of the initial output among the provinces can not explain the differences of the economic growth rates, and there does exist conditional convergence and it conditions on the factors as degree of marketing, foreign capital actually used, export, expenditure by the government, technology progress, advantage of location, economic outwards dependence and effect of fixed capital investment etc. The implication of the finding is discussed briefly in the end of the paper.
出处
《中山大学学报(社会科学版)》
CSSCI
北大核心
2000年第5期11-16,共6页
Journal of Sun Yat-sen University(Social Science Edition)
基金
国家教委 (现教育部 )九五规划项目! (项目编号 :0 0 5C90 1)