摘要
基于河南省1986-2011年货物周转量和进出口贸易的相关数据,运用协整检验、格兰杰因果检验和弹性分析法对现代物流与进出口贸易的关系进行了实证分析。结果表明,二者之间存在长期稳定的协整关系,现代物流的发展可以推动对外贸易的增长,并就如何更好地发展现代物流业以促进对外贸易增长提出了建议。
In this paper, based on the data of the freight turnover and import/export trade of Henan between 1986 and 2011, we used co-integration check, Granger causal check and flexibility analysis to study empirically the rdationship between the modern logistics industry and import/export trade and found that there existed a long-term stable co-integrative relationship between the two and the development of modern logistics could promote the growth of foreign trade. At the end we offered suggestions to facilitate the promotional effect.
出处
《物流技术》
北大核心
2014年第2期109-111,共3页
Logistics Technology
基金
2012年度河南省政府决策研究招标课题(2012B094)
