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中国证券市场股票指数决定机制的计量分析

China′s Securities Market Stock Index Determination Mechanism Econometric Analysis
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摘要 中国证券市场受到多种因素的影响,股票指数作为证券市场总体状况的衡量标准有着举足轻重的作用,因此研究股票指数的决定机制是至关重要的。针对中国证券市场总体状况所受的影响因素,着重对股票指数决定机制进行研究,使用最小二乘法、逐步回归分析等方法,使用Excel、EViews等软件编程计算,得到股票指数与GDP增长率、CHIBOR等因素的模型[1]。并且逐步解决可能存在的多重共线性、异方差性、自相关性。最后对中国证券市场的不足提出了政策建议。 The Chinese stock market is affected by many factors, stock index as a measure of the overall situation of the stock market plays an important role; therefore, it is essential to study the mechanism of the stock index. In view of the overall status of China's securities market factors, decision of stock index mechanism is studied, using the least square method, stepwise regression analysis and other methods, the use of Excel, such as EViews software programming calculation, factors such as stock index and GDP growth rate, CHIBOR model. And gradually solve the possible existence of muhicollinearity, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation. Finally puts forward policy Suggestions on the shortcomings of Chihats securities market.
作者 管志文
出处 《科技和产业》 2014年第9期161-164,共4页 Science Technology and Industry
关键词 股票指数 GDP增长率 CHIBOR 最小二乘法 EVIEWS stoekindex GDP growth rate CHIBOR least squares method EViews
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  • 1(美)费兰克.J.法博齐.投资管理学[M].北京:经济科学出版社,1999.199-200.
  • 2曹风岐.证券投资学[M].北京:北京大学出版社,1995..

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