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基于生存分析的交通事故持续时间预测模型 被引量:5

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摘要 收集了江苏省某高速公路事件数据,提出了基于条件概率的生存分析预测事件持续时间的实现方法,并用实例试验了基于条件概率的生存分析模型的效果,给出了预测事件持续时间的一般过程,通过最终得到的累积结束概率图给出事件持续时间的预测值及其对应的概率值。
出处 《公路与汽运》 2014年第6期68-72,共5页 Highways & Automotive Applications
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参考文献14

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二级参考文献6

  • 1A Garib, A E Radwan, H Al-Deek. Estimating Magnitude and Duration of Incident Delays [ J ] .Journal of Transportation Engineering, 1997,123 (6): 459- 465.
  • 2Doohee Nam, Fred mannering. An Exploratory Hazard-Based Analysis of Highway Incident Duration [J] .Transp. Res., 2000, 34A (2): 85- 102.
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共引文献17

同被引文献28

引证文献5

二级引证文献17

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