新型农村社会养老保险政策效果评估——收入、贫困、消费、主观福利和劳动供给被引量：314

Policy Evaluation of China's New Rural Pension Program:Income,Poverty,Expenditure,Subjective Wellbeing and Labor Supply

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摘要本文使用中国健康与养老追踪调查(CHARLS)数据,采用断点回归和双重差分识别策略,估计了"新农保"对农村老年人收入、贫困、消费、主观福利和劳动供给的影响。研究结果显示,"新农保"养老金收入显著提高了农村老年人的收入水平、减少了贫困的发生、提高了其主观福利,并在一定程度上促进了家庭消费和减少了老年人劳动供给。进一步的研究显示,健康状况较差的老年人受到的政策影响更大更显著,表明"新农保"的政策影响存在异质性。 Using data from China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study （CHARLS） and employing regression discontinuity method and difference-in-differences strategy, this pa- per evaluates the policy effects of China＇s new rural pension program （NRPP） on income,poverty status, expenditure, subjective wellbeing and labor supply of the rural elderly. Em pirical results show that, pension benefits of NRPP significantly increased personal income,decreased the incidence rate of poverty, enhanced subjeet-wellbeing, and marginally increased household expenditure and decreased labor supply. Further studies show that policy effects are larger and more significant for people with poor health status, suggesting heterogeneity of the policy effects.

作者张川川 John Giles 赵耀辉

机构地区中央财经大学经济学院世界银行发展研究部北京大学国家发展研究院

出处《经济学（季刊）》 CSSCI 北大核心 2014年第4期203-230,共28页 China Economic Quarterly

基金国家自然科学基金(71130002) 世界银行(7159234) 美国国立老龄研究院(1R01AG037031) 中财121人才工程青年博士发展基金(QBJ1417) "中央财经大学协同创新中心"经济学院研究项目的资助

关键词新型农村社会养老保险断点回归双重差分

分类号 F840.67 [经济管理—保险]

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