摘要
中国的煤层气产业发展环境近年来有所变化,需要重新思考其发展战略。通过调查研究、地质评价和战略决策等方法,从产业现状、机遇与挑战,探明储量与动用储量预测,战略思路,战略对策,战略的时空布局,战略风险评估与规避战略风险等方面研究了我国煤层气产业的发展战略。结果认为:①我国的煤层气产业正处在产业快速发展的初期阶段,已经取得了6个方面的成绩,也存在着6个方面的问题;②我国煤层气产业发展的总体思路是坚持"稳步发展中高煤阶、加快发展低煤阶、深化发展井下综合利用"原则,建设沁水、鄂东、西南、长庆、东北、西北等6个区域性煤层气"产业基地",发展目标是累计动用储量达到3×10^(12)~4×10^(12)m^3、高峰产气量达到350×10~8~450×10~8m^3/a;③我国煤层气的战略风险是单井产量低、地质认识弱、投资下滑和技术储备不足,应当从开展煤系地层的综合勘探开发、营造民营油公司的发展环境、加大技术服务公司的发展空间、扩大科技攻关的研究领域和加大执法的力度等5个方面来规避战略风险。
Since the environment for the CBM development in China has changed in recent years, it is necessary to re-consider the relevant strategies. Through investigations, surveys, geologic assessment, strategic decision-making and other techniques, the strate gies for CBM development in China were discussed in respect to present situations, opportunities, challenges, proved reserves, developed reserves, strategic principles, strategic countermeasures, time spatial allocation of strategies, risk assessments, and elimi nation of relevant risks. Relevant research results show that： （1）Still in its initial development stage with fast growth, the CBM industry in China has achieved outstanding achievements in six aspects and faced with challenges in six aspects; （2）Strategic focus can be summarized as constructing six CBM production bases in Qinshui, eastern Hubei province, Southwest China, Changqing, Northwest China, and Northeast China, respectively, according to the principles of ＂steadily developing high-rank coals, accelerating the development of low-rank coals and strengthening the comprehensive utilization of resources in the well＂; it is expected that the cumulative production capacity and peak production rate will be 3-4 trillion m^3 and 35-45billion m^3 , respectively; （3）Major strategic risks for CBM development in China include low productivities of individual wells, improper understandings of geologic conditions, decline in investments and lack of technical reserves. To eliminate these risks, it is necessary to reinforce work in the following five aspects, namely, strengthening comprehensive exploration and development of coal-bearing formations, creating favorable environ ments for the development of private oil companies, expanding spaces for the growth of technical service companies, conducting more researches for the development of innovative techniques in more areas and strengthening law enforcement.
出处
《天然气工业》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2015年第6期110-116,共7页
Natural Gas Industry
基金
国家科技重大专项"我国煤层气发展战略和政策研究"(编号:2011ZX05043-006)
关键词
中国
煤层气
产业
发展战略
可动储量
产能
产量
风险评估
Coalbed methane （CBM）
Industry
Development strategy
Recoverable reserves
Production capacity
Output
