摘要
城镇化的发展情况与产业结构的演进过程,两者之间互为影响,具有非常重要的相互推动作用。本文通过对我国城镇化和产业结构的现状以及两者相互之间的影响分析,利用1984-2013年的城镇人口占居民总人口的比重和第二、第三产业占GDP的比重之和,研究我国城镇化发展与产业结构演进之间的关系。根据实证研究得到我国城镇化与产业结构未形成良性互动关系的结论,并据此提出相应的促进我国城镇化与产业结构演进协调发展的对策建议。
There is quite mutual promoting and acceleration between urbanization and the industrial structure evolution. This paper expounds the relationship between China＇s urbanization and industrial structure evolution, with the use of the proportion that urban population has made up from1984 to 2013 of the total population as well as the second and third industry＇s share of GDP, based on the analyzes of the status quo of China＇s urbanization and the industrial structure evolution as well as the mutual influence. According to the empirical research to get a conclusion that urbanization and industrial structure in our country has not formed the benign interaction. Finally, this paper presents the policy advice which would promote the development of China＇s urbanization and industrial structure in the end.
出处
《工业经济论坛》
2015年第6期47-53,共7页
Industrial Economy Review
关键词
城镇化
产业结构
协整性检验
格兰杰因果检验
urbanization
industrial structure
co-integration test
Granger causality test
