摘要
利用海南省的港口吞吐量和进出口总额建立VAR模型,通过脉冲响应和方差分解等分析措施合理预测了海南省的发展。通过研究发现,海南省港口物流与对外贸易相互存在正向促进作用。最后,根据实际情况提出了合理化建议。
In this paper, we established the VAR model of the port throughput and gross import/3export volume of Hainan, forecast the future economic data of the province using the pulse response and variance decomposition processes, found that there existed a mutual positive promotional effect between the two, and at the end, according to the practical situation, proposed some suggestions.
出处
《物流技术》
2015年第22期121-123,143,共4页
Logistics Technology
