摘要
在测度中国与86个贸易伙伴2000-2013年双边贸易成本和加总贸易成本的基础上,本文立足中国垂直分工的实际,实证中国加总贸易成本对ISIC两位数分类制造业17个子行业的比较优势和出口份额的影响,并做三种稳健性检验以消除内生性偏离。结果表明:加总贸易成本呈现下降态势,但仍高出10年前发达国家的1/3,对部分国家的双边贸易成本不降反升;加总贸易成本是我国制造业产品"全球"和"局部"比较优势和出口份额的决定因素,对贸易成本密集度越高的行业,这种影响出口的效应越大。因此,应考虑贸易成本密集度及"国内附加值率"的产品结构,降低贸易成本以促进国内附加值率高的产品的出口,实现外贸发展方式的实质转变。
On the basis of measuring the bilateral trade costs between China and 86 trading partners and the aggregate trade costs from 2000 to 2013, this paper takes China＇s vertical specialization reality into account, to make an empirical study on the impacts of China＇s aggregate trade costs on comparative advantages and export share of 17 two-digit ISIC manufacturing industries, and to conduct three types of robust tests in order to eliminate endogeneity bias. The results show that China＇s aggregate trade costs are declining, but it is still 1/3 higher than that of developed countries of 10 years ago; bilateral trade costs between China and some countries even rise instead; aggregate trade costs are the determinants, not only of ＇global＇ and ＇ local＇ comparative advantages, but also of export share of China＇s manufacturing products, and its effect is stronger in industries with higher trade cost intensity. Therefore, we should consider the product composition on trade cost intensity and domestic value-added rate（DVAR）, and reduce trade costs in order to promote the export of products with higher domestic value-added rate, and to realize the substantial transformation of foreign trade growth mode.
出处
《财贸经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第3期123-137,共15页
Finance & Trade Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金项目"中国广义贸易成本的测度及对贸易发展影响的经验分析"(71263016)
国家自然科学基金项目"中国服务贸易成本的测度及对服务贸易发展影响的经验分析"(71303097)
江西财经大学协同创新中心(省级)招标项目"全球价值链背景下战略性新兴产业的增加值测算及发展对策研究"(2015-08)
关键词
加总贸易成本
制造业出口结构
贸易成本密集度
国内附加值
Aggregate Trade Costs, Manufacturing Export Composition, Trade Cost Intensity, Domestic Value Added
