摘要
本文基于2008年1月-2016年2月我国粮食价格与CPI的月度数据,从理论和实证层面分析了两者之间的动态关系。研究结果表明,粮食价格与CPI之间具有长期稳定的均衡关系,且两者互为格兰杰因果关系,但CPI波动对粮食价格波动的贡献率要大于粮食价格波动对CPI波动的贡献率。最后,提出了相应的对策建议。
This paper analyzes the dynamic relationship between the two from the theoretical and empirical level based on the monthly data of China’s grain price and CPI from January 2008 to February 2016. Research results show that there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between grain prices and the CPI, and the two are mutually Granger causality, but CPI fluctuation of grain price fluctuation contribution rate to the rates more than the contribution of grain price volatility of the CPI fluctuation. Finally, the corresponding policy recommendations are put forward.
出处
《价格理论与实践》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第3期90-92,共3页
Price:Theory & Practice
基金
山东省"三农"问题软科学研究基地项目(SN15012)
