摘要
长期以来中国都是全球价值链的参与者,"一带一路"战略的推行对区域价值链的主导权提出了要求。若"一带一路"战略在经济上可行,中国将从嵌入欧美日主导的全球价值链转换为自我主导的区域价值链。本文基于WIOD数据和KPWW方法,利用RCA指数、RGVCA指数和价值链位置指数等指标,从价值链转换的条件以及转换后的影响这两个角度,探讨这一可行性问题。实证结果显示:中国与"一带一路"沿线国家在产业间和产业内的互补性均强于竞争性,且中国占据了价值链的高附加值环节,具备主导区域价值链的条件。通过"一带一路"战略,推进价值链转换后,将产生实际贸易利得提高、产业高端化发展等积极影响。本文最终得到"一带一路"战略在经济上可行的结论。
For a long time, China has been a participant in the GVCs. And the implementation of the ＂One Belt and One Road＂（OBOR） initiative creates new needs for the governance of RVCs. If this initiative is economically feasible,China will transform from embedding GVCs to self- leading RVCs. Based on WIOD data, this paper applied KPWW method, index, index and value chain index to explore this feasibility. The empirical results show that complementarity is stronger than competition both among the industries and within the industry between China and countries along OBOR. And China has accounted for the high value- added stakes of this value chain that is the basic condition to lead the RVCs. After the implementation of the OBOR strategy and framework to promote the conversion of value chains, it will have a real trading profits increase and a positive impact on industrial high- end development. Finally, this paper reaches the conclusion that OBOR is economically viable.
出处
《国际贸易问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第5期104-115,共12页
Journal of International Trade
