摘要
首先,遴选出影响研究生教育规模的主要因素。然后,运用协整理论对各变量间的关系进行实证检验。结果表明,研究生教育规模和人均GDP、居民消费水平、三产就业人员占总就业人员的比重、就业人员平均实际工资指数和城镇登记失业率之间存在稳定的长期均衡关系;经济发展水平对研究生教育规模的正向效应初步凸显,居民消费水平对研究生教育规模具有显著拉动作用,劳动力市场因素对其的影响不断加强。最后,结合我国实际,提出相应的政策建议。
By collating literature at home and abroad,this paper selects the major factors influencing the scale of graduate education in China,then conducts an empirical study in order to explore the relationship among the variables by using the Co- integration Theory. The results show that a long- term balance is noted among the scale of graduate education and GDP per person,the level of residents consumption,the share of employment of tertiary industry to total employment,average real wage index and the urban unemployment rate. Furthermore,it is also discovered that levels of economic development have positive effects on the scale of graduate education; the level of residents consumption has played the important and stabilizing role on the scale of graduate education; and the influences which labor- market factors exert on the scale of graduate education have been continuously strengthened. At last,according to the actual situation of China,we put forward the corresponding policy proposals.
作者
司俊峰
荀渊
叶楠楠
SI Jun - feng XUN Yuan YE Nan - nan(Institute of Higher Education, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, Chin)
出处
《黑龙江高教研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第3期88-93,共6页
Heilongjiang Researches on Higher Education
基金
中国学位与研究生教育学会2015年度重点课题"我国学位与研究生教育发展阶段及特征与十三五规模预测研究"(编号:A2-2015Y0302-019)的阶段性研究成果
关键词
研究生教育
影响因素
协整理论
VAR模型
graduate education
influencing factors
Co-integration theory
VAR model
