摘要
文章以安徽省GDP、货运周转量、物流网络里程以及物流产值作为衡量区域经济和区域物流发展水平的指标,基于VAR模型,运用Granger因果检验、脉冲响应函数及方差分解法,对安徽省历年区域物流的发展和区域经济增长之间的关系进行了实证研究。结果表明:安徽省区域物流与区域经济发展之间相互影响,其中物流业产值对区域经济的发展影响较大。
In this paper we takes Anhui province GDP, freight turnover, logistics mileage and logistics output as a measure of the level of regional economic and regional logistics. Based on the VAR model, the relationship between regional logistics and region- al economic in Anhui province was empirically studied by using Granger causality test, impulse response function and variance decomposition method. The results show that the regional logistics and regional economic development of Anhui province influence each other, among which the output value of the logistics industry has a greater impact on the development of regional economy.
出处
《物流科技》
2017年第11期109-112,共4页
Logistics Sci-Tech
