摘要
土地利用和覆被变化(LUCC)是全球环境变化研究的主要议题,对于环境管理领域十分重要。土地利用和覆被变化模型有助于人们更好地理解土地利用和覆被变化过程,了解人类决策对土地利用变化的影响,并对未来情景作出预测,确定环境变化的关键地点,是综合环境管理的重要工具。CLUE-S模型是一种适用于中小尺度的、动态的、空间显性的LUCC模型,能够实现基于土地利用需求分析下的全局土地利用类型的同步模拟,自2002年推出以来已在国内外多个研究区得到广泛应用。对CLUE-S模型在LUCC、环境管理、城市空间扩展等领域的应用进行了梳理,并从模型改进、模型耦合、模型尺度与模型参数研究等方面对CLUE-S模型研究进展进行探讨,认为模型存在尺度依赖性、缺乏反馈机制、人类决策因素考虑不足等问题,总结出未来研究应着重考虑开展多尺度模拟,探索CLUE-S模型与其他模型的耦合研究,加深在环境管理领域的应用。
Land use and land cover change （LUCC） is the main topic of global environmental change research and is important to environmental management. LUCC models help human better understand the process of LUCC and comprehend the impact of human decision-making on land use change. Be- sides, LUCC model is a significant tool for comprehensive environmental management which can pre- dict future scenarios and identify key locations of environmental change. CLUE-S model is one of the LUCC models which is developed for the analysis of small region and is a dynamic and spatial explicit model. CLUE-S model can synchronously model land use change of all the land use type based on land use demand analysis and has been widely applied in many study areas since its launch in 2002. This paper discusses the application of CLUE-S model on LUCC, environmental management and urban ex- pansion and introduces the research progress on model improvement, model coupling, model scale and model parameters. This paper indicates that CLUE-S model is lack of scale test, feedback mechanism and human decision making. It concluded that the CLUE-S model should focus on the multi-scale sim- ulation and explore the coupling research between CLUE-S model and other models, and deepen the application on environment management.
出处
《亚热带资源与环境学报》
2017年第3期77-87,共11页
Journal of Subtropical Resources and Environment
基金
国土资源部公益性行业科研专项(201411015-03)
