摘要
新供给主义经济学以"新供给创造新需求"为微观理论基础,论证了供给在供需关系中的主导地位,提出"供给自动创造自身等量需求"只是一种理想状态,只有新供给才能持续创造增量的需求,并分析了新供给形成的环境、条件和要素,从而构成"培育新供给、新动能"的政策理论基础。新供给主义经济学以"新供给经济周期"为宏观基础,从供给角度把一个完整的经济周期划分为新供给形成、供给扩张、供给成熟和供给老化四个阶段,揭示了"供给创造需求能力的变化"是形成经济周期波动的主要力量,指出"供给结构老化"是当前中国经济连续下行的根本原因,从而形成"结构性改革推动产业升级"以及"新旧动能转换"的理论基础。新供给主义经济学从二维的生产要素理论扩展到三维的"五大财富源泉"经济增长理论,提出了从供给侧划分的31种增长模式,揭示了经济增长的供给扩张原理,并提出了一些列供给侧结构性改革的原理性主张,进而探讨了解除行政性供给约束所能获得的短期增长空间,以及放松五大要素供给抑制所能带来的长期经济增长潜力。
With the theory that＂new supply creates new demands＂as the micro theoretical foundation,the new supply-side economics verifies the dominant role of supply in the supply-demand relationship,advocating that supply creates its own demands is just an ideal and only the new supply can continuously create demands for increment.It analyzes the environment,conditions and factors forming the new supply,which constitute the foundation of policy and theory of＂developing new supply and kinetic energy＂.With＂the new supply economic cycle＂as the macro base,it divides a complete economic cycle into four stages：new supply forming,supply expansion,supply ripening and supply aging,reveals that the change of supply’s capacity in creating demands is the major force causing economic periodical fluctuation,and points out that＂supply structure aging＂is the root cause for the continuous downturn of China’s economy.These forms the theoretical foundation of the theory claiming＂structural reform drives forward industrial upgrading＂and＂new and old kinetic energies convert to each other＂.Expanding from the two-dimensional production factor theory to the three-dimensional economic growth theory stressing＂five wealth sources＂,it proposes 31 supply-side growth modes,reveals the supply and expansion principles of economic growth,and raises a series of principles for the supply-side structural reform.Further,it discusses the short-term growth space gained by dismissing management supply restraint as well as the long-term economic growth potential gained by releasing five factors supply suppression.
出处
《兰州大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第1期1-12,共12页
Journal of Lanzhou University（Social Sciences）
