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移民的迁移意愿与生活期望——基于宁夏生态移民调查数据的Logistic回归分析 被引量:12

The Migration Intentions of Migrants and Life Expectancy:Based on the Logistic Regression Analysis of Ecological Migrant Survey Data
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摘要 政府主导的移民工程已实施30余年,在此过程中移民的迁移意愿及其影响因素发生着悄然变化。基于303份移民农户的问卷调查数据,采用Logistic回归分析方法,从移民意愿的影响因素入手探讨移民的生活期望。结果表明,移民的外出务工频率、对政府财政补贴和清真寺满意度对迁移意愿分别具有不同程度的显著影响,而移民的性别、年龄、文化程度等个人属性则与迁移意愿不相关。结合访谈资料,发现当前移民的生活期望已不是最初解决温饱的生存层面,而是向往更舒适的生活,但对居住地生态环境并不关注。 The government leading the migrant project has been implemented more than30years,the migration intention of Migrant farmers and its affecting factors have also changes quietly.Based on the questionnaire survey data of303migrant farmers,using Logistic regression analysis method,from the affecting factors of migration intention to explore the life expectancy.Result shows that the migrant go out to working frequency,the satisfaction of the mosque,the satisfaction of government subsidies for migration will significantly influence with different degree,respectively,and migration personal attributes such as gender,age,educational level no related with the migration will.Combined with the interview data,found that the current migration is no longer stay on the survival of adequate food,but to expect a more comfortable life,however their comfortable life goals without the attention to the ecological environment.
作者 王艳 彭婧 党晶晶 WANG Yan;PENG Jing;DANG Jing-jing(School of Administration Beifang University of Nationalities,Yinchuan 750021;School of Economical Administration Xi’an Technological University,Shaanxi 710021)
出处 《西北人口》 CSSCI 2017年第4期116-121,共6页 Northwest Population Journal
基金 国家社会科学基金项目"公共服务购买中的政府责任研究"(14CZZ030) 国家民委人文社科研究基地项目"公民参与与政策执行:民族地区政府购买养老服务的政策转型研究"(MWJD201608) 北方民族大学科研项目"农业女性化对农业生产力水平的影响研究"(2013XYS04)
关键词 迁移意愿 影响因素 生活期望 LOGISTIC回归分析 Migration intention Affecting factors Life expectancy Logistic regression analysis
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