摘要
为了更科学地评判山体滑坡灾害导致的海事风险并且科学实施水上交通管制决策,研究山体滑坡海事风险的三维测度方法。以大中规模剧动式滑坡涌浪为研究对象,根据山体滑坡海事风险的形成过程研究其海事风险的三维测度方法,提出了以山体滑坡变形破坏阶段、滑坡涌浪规模、涌浪损毁船舶的系统风险综合系数为测度指标的海事风险评判模型,并通过实例说明该方法及风险评判模型的应用。研究结论表明:该海事风险测度方法及评判模型,考虑了山体滑坡险情水上交通管制的主要因素,全面地反映了山体滑坡灾害导致的海事风险特征。
In order to scientifically evaluate the marine risks caused by the landslide disaster andscientifically implement water traffic control decision,the three-dimensional measure method of the maritime risks oflandslides is studied.With large and medium scale motion type landslide surge as the research object,according toformation process of landslides maritime risk,three-dimensional measurement method is studied.The landslidedeformation failure stage,scale of landslide surge,surge of damaged ship system risk comprehensive coefficient tomeasure the maritime risk evaluation model is put forward.The example illustrates the application of this method andrisk evaluation model.Research results indicate that the maritime risk measure methods and evaluation model,considering the main factors of the landslide danger water traffic control,fully reflect the maritime riskcharacteristics caused by landslide.
作者
程志友
王平义
杨成渝
韩林峰
王仕贤
CHENG Zhi-you;WANG Ping-yi;YANG Cheng-yu;HAN Lin-feng;WANG Shi-xian(Key Laboratory of Hydraulic and Waterway Engineering of the Ministry of Education, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China;Hubei Key Laboratory of Inland Shipping Technology, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430063, China;School of Shipping and Naval Architecture, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China;National Engineering Research Center for Inland Waterway Regulation, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China;Command Center, Changjiang Maritime Safety Administration, Wuhan 430016, China)
出处
《水运工程》
北大核心
2017年第9期64-69,共6页
Port & Waterway Engineering
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(51479015)
中国博士后基金项目(2016M592889XB)
重庆市教育委员会科学技术研究项目(KJ1500519)
内河航运技术湖北省重点实验室基金项目(NHHY2015001)
重庆交通大学国家内河航道整治工程技术研究中心暨水利水运工程教育部重点实验室开放基金项目(SLK2016B06)
关键词
滑坡涌浪
海事风险
三维测度
系统风险系数
交通管制
surge generated by landslide
maritime risk
three-dimensional measurement
risk coefficient of system
traffic control
