摘要
本文构建测算模型,估计了基于货物贸易、FDI和服务贸易渠道从OECD成员国有效外溢到中国的环境技术知识存量,并建立1999—2013年中国30个省市的空间面板模型,实证分析并测度国际性环境技术知识的局域溢出效应和跨区域溢出效应.研究发现:从当期溢出效应来看,货物贸易、FDI外溢环境知识存量对中国整体环境技术进步发挥了重要作用,而服务贸易外溢渠道在局域内和跨区域间表现出强烈的溢出反差且总体上具有不确定性;从滞后溢出效应来看,估计结果与当期溢出效应结果类似,但滞后跨区域溢出效应显著度有所降低;从不同环境技术领域下的空间溢出效应分解结果来看,气候变化减缓技术与"三废"治理技术领域的估计结果存在一定差异,尤其是外资渠道对中国"三废"减排技术进步没有产生直接或间接的影响.
It constructed the calculation model to estimate China s environmental knowledge stock from OECD countries based on the channels of goods trade,FDI and service trade,and established a spatial panel model of China s 30 provinces from 1999 to 2013 to empirically analyze the local and cross-regional spillover effects of international environmental knowledge.The results show that:from the point of current spillover effects,spillover knowledge stocks from goods trade and FDI make a prominent contribution to overall technology progress,while the service trade spillover channel shows strong differences between the local and cross-regional levels,and is uncertain on the whole;the lagged effect results are similar to the current effects,but the significant degree for lagged cross-regional effect decreases;the spillover effects under different environmental technology exist certain differences between climate change mitigation and“three wastes”treatment technology,especially FDI channel has neither direct nor indirect impacts on Chinese“three wastes”technological progress.
作者
李锴
齐绍洲
LI Kai;QI Shao-zhou(Study Center for Climate Change and Energy Economics,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China)
出处
《研究与发展管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第5期1-14,共14页
R&D Management
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目"国际贸易对我国碳排放效率的影响及政策研究"(71303176)
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金资助项目"国际贸易对我国碳排放效率的影响及政策研究"(13YJC790073)
关键词
环境技术进步
知识存量
空间溢出效应
极大似然估计
environmental technology progress
knowledge stock
spatial spillover effect
maximum likelihood estimation
