摘要
基于安徽省2005-2015年期间16个地市城镇化与生态环境两系统的面板数据,运用耦合协调度模型对两系统的耦合、协调进行评价,并结合GIS和Tobit回归模型进行演化与归因分析,研究发现:安徽城镇化与生态环境两系统耦合度稳步提升,形成了由中度协调向良好协调、优质协调梯度演进的发展模式;但多数地市的协调模式属于城镇化发展滞后型;经济发展水平、环境规制和承接产业转移促进了两系统的协调发展,而工业化阻碍了两系统的协调发展。为此,应稳步推进城镇化,加大改善城镇基本公共服务供给力度,优化资源配置,促进产业结构转型升级,积极推进制度创新,实现利益主体的多方联动、协同推进的新型发展模式。
Based on the panel data of urbanization and eco-environment systems in 16 cities of Anhui Province from 2005 to 2015,using the coupling coordination degree model combined with GIS and Tobit regression models,the coupling and coordination of urbanization and ecological environment in Anhui Province are evaluated and analyzed.The study found that the coupling degree between urbanization and ecological environment in Anhui has been steadily improved,forming a development model from moderate coordination to good coordination and high-quality coordinated gradient evolution.However,most cities are lagging behind urbanization development;the level of economic development,environment regulation and the undertaking of industrial transfer promote the coordinated development of the two systems,while the current level of industrialization hinders the coordinated development of the two systems.Therefore,the government should steadily promote urbanization,increase the supply of basic public services in urban areas,optimize resource allocation,promote the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure,actively promote institutional innovation,and realize a new development model of multi-party linkage and coordinated advancement of stakeholders.
作者
程云鹤
万李红
王燊
CHENG Yun-he;Wan li-hong;Wang shen(School of Economics and Management,Anhui University of Science and Technology,Huainan,Anhui232001,China)
出处
《安徽理工大学学报（社会科学版）》
2018年第5期24-34,共11页
Journal of Anhui University of Science and Technology:Social Science
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(14BJL105)
安徽省科技厅软科学项目(1607a0202047/1706a02020021)
安徽省教育厅人文社科重大项目(SK2017ZD07)
