摘要
根据1952—2013年吐鲁番国家基准气象站气象资料,采用线性回归、趋势分析等方法,分析吐鲁番市近62年来气温变化特征及发展趋势。结果表明:吐鲁番市近62年来气温呈上升趋势,年平均气温、年最高气温及年最低气温均在上升,上升速率分别为0.39℃·(10a)-1、0.21℃·(10a)-1和0.65℃·(10a)-1。四季气温也均在上升,其中冬季上升幅度最大,为0.73℃·(10a)-1;秋季次之,为0.44℃·(10a)-1;春、夏季最小,分别为0.32℃·(10a)-1和0.06℃·(10a)-1。年最低气温的升高是影响吐鲁番市气温上升的主要原因之一。
Based on the climatic data of daily air temperature from Turpan meteorological station during1952-2013,several methods such as linear regression,trend analysis are used to analyze the characteristics of temperature change in Turpan City since the last62years.The results show that:during the latest62years in Turpan,the temperature showed a rising trend,The annual temperature、annual maximum temperature and the minimum temperature also had increasing trends,the increasing rate were0.39℃·(10a)^-1、0.21℃·(10a)^-1and0.65℃·(10a)-1respectively,the annual minimum temperature showed a more obvious effect on increasing of mean annual temperature.For seasonal temperature,the temperature of four seasons were all into a rising trend,with the most obvious warming occurring in winter,and the increasing rate reached0.73℃·(10a)^-1,followed by the autumn,and the increasing rates were0.44℃·(10a)^-1,finally were spring and summer,the increasing rates were0.32℃·(10a)^-1and0.06℃·(10a)^-1.The results can provide theoretical basis and reference for addressing climate change and preventing meteorlogical disasters in Turpan.
作者
张耀文
吕婷
Zhang Yaowen(College of Geographical Science and Tourism,Xinjiang Normal University,Urumqi 830054,China;Institute of Desert Meteorology,China Meteorological Administration,Urumqi 830002,China)
出处
《安徽农学通报》
2018年第23期120-121,141,共3页
Anhui Agricultural Science Bulletin
基金
国家重点研发计划"林果水旱灾害监测预警与风险防范技术研究"项目
课题名称"林果水旱灾害及其演变规律研究"(2017YFC1502801)
关键词
气温变化
季节变化
吐鲁番市
Temperature chang
Seasonal change
Turpan City
