摘要
2018年3月8日,备受关注的《全面进步的跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》(CPTPP)得以签署,并于12月30日正式生效。经过删减后的CPTPP与《跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》(TPP)相比,其经济规模和战略影响力大不如前,但在国际经贸规则方面,CPTPP仍然代表新一代贸易协定的最高标准,可引领21世纪国际经贸规则。况且,仍存在未来美国重返这一自贸协定的可能。CPTPP的签署会对世界贸易版图、战略布局产生一定影响,尤其是在中美经贸摩擦、美欧日有联合制定经贸规则动向、世贸组织改革等新形势下,CPTPP的重要性明显上升。本文基于文本分析的视角,对成员国官方发布的CPTPP和TPP文本全文进行对比与解读。从经济层面、战略层面和规则层面分析CPTPP对世界和中国经济产生的影响。并在此基础上分析CPTPP条款在中国接受的难易程度,提出相关政策建议。
The Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) was finally signed on March 8, and entered into force on December 30, 2018. The truncated CPTPP, compared with the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP), covers narrower economic scale and has less strategic impact. However, in terms of international economic and trade rules, the CPTPP still represents the highest standard of a new generation of trade agreements and can still lead the international economic and trade rule-setting in the 21st century. Moreover, there is still a possibility that the United States will return to the agreement in the future. The signing of the CPTPP will have some impact on the global trade landscape and strategic layout. Its importance has increased markedly, especially against the backdrop of the Sino-US economic and trade frictions, the release of a joint statement by the United States, Europe and Japan against certain policies of China, and the WTO reform. Based on text analysis, this article compares and interprets the CPTPP and the TPP texts published by member states. It also analyzes the impact of the CPTPP on the world and Chinese economy from the aspects of economy, strategy and rules before analyzing the China’s difficulty in accepting the CPTPP and putting forward relevant policy suggestions.
作者
白洁
苏庆义
Bai Jie;Su Qingyi
出处
《国际经济评论》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第1期58-76,180,共20页
International Economic Review
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目"构建陆海内外联动
东西双向开放的全面开放新格局研究"(批准号:ZDC017)
国家社会科学基金青年项目"TPP对亚太价值链和中国参与亚太价值链分工的双重影响评估研究"(批准号:16CGJ001)
山东省社会科学规划研究项目"基于服务贸易新规则的山东服务业开放对策研究"(批准号:17CZKJ05)的阶段性成果