摘要
超低人口生育率对我国发展产生重大影响,全面二孩政策作为人口供给侧结构性改革的突破口,对扭转人口生育率下降趋势具有积极意义。单独二孩和全面二孩政策释放了人口生育意愿,但在目前不是影响生育意愿的主导因素。综合国内外相关文献发现:经济因素是目前影响我国人口生育的关键因素,这一点得到广泛认可;受教育程度如何影响生育意愿还存在争议;社会资本与社会福利因素对生育意愿的影响程度因人而异;环境、公共服务、身体、经历、朋辈压力、户口、职业性质等变量亦是影响生育意愿的重要因素,不可忽视。相较而言,国内生育意愿影响因素的研究范畴可以再拓宽,全国和各省市的比较研究可以再深入。
Ultra-low fertility rate does significant influence on China's development.The universal two-child policy,a breakthrough point in the reform of population supply side,has positive effects on reversing the declining trend of population fertility rate.Although two-child policy and the universal two-child policy have released the fertility desire,currently they are not the dominant factors affecting the fertility desire.Through researching domestic and foreign relevant papers,we find that:economic factors are the key factors affecting Chinese fertility desire has been widely recognized;how education factors affect fertility intentions still reserve debate;the social capital and welfare’s influence on fertility intention varies from person to person;environment,public service,body health,life experience,peer pressure,registered residence and occupation character are also important factors affecting fertility intention,which cannot be ignored.In comparison,China’s research scope on the fertility intention factors should be broadened,comparative study of that on whole country,provinces or cities would be deepened.
作者
杨柠聪
Yang Ningcong(Marxism School of NanKai University,Tianjin,300350)
出处
《重庆社会科学》
CSSCI
2020年第1期94-105,共12页
Chongqing Social Sciences
基金
国家社会科学基金重大研究专项项目“建设具有强大凝聚力和引领力的社会主义意识形态研究”（18VZT004）
关键词
全面二孩
人口供给侧结构性改革
生育意愿影响因素
人口安全
Universal two-child policy
Population supply-side reform
Fertility intention influencing factors
Population security
