摘要
研究运用生态足迹模型、LMDI分解模型、Tapio脱钩理论等方法,测算2007—2016年山东省及17市生态足迹时空演变特征,探讨生态环境与经济发展之间的关系,为新旧动能转换背景下山东省可持续发展提供决策参考。研究发现:(1)2007—2016年,山东省生态足迹呈上升态势,生态承载力缓慢下降;(2)山东省17市生态足迹空间差异明显,东部半岛沿海地区高于鲁西南和鲁西北内陆地区;(3)从LMDI分解因素看,生态足迹正向响应于经济效应和人口效应,而技术效应对生态足迹的变化贡献值为负值,说明技术进步能够有效降低山东省人均生态足迹。(4)在生态足迹和经济增长的脱钩关系中,强脱钩、扩张连接、弱脱钩出现的频率分别是22.222%、11.111%、66.667%。
Using an ecological footprint model,this paper calculated the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of the ecological footprint in Shandong Province and its 17 cities from 2007 to 2016.Then using LMDI decomposition method and Tapio decoupling model,this paper explored the relationship between ecological environment and economic development of Shandong Province to provide a reference for sustainable development.The results show that:(1)Ecological footprint of Shandong Province was on the rise and its ecological carrying capacity was slowly decreasing from 2007 to 2016.(2)The spatial differences of the ecological footprint of 17 cities in Shandong Province were great regional difference,and the coastal areas of the eastern peninsula were higher than those in southwest and northwest.(3)The results of decoupling effect showed that the ecological footprint was positively responding to economic and demographic effects,and the contribution of technological effects to the changes in ecological footprint was negative,indicating that technological progress can effectively reduce the per capita ecological footprint in Shandong Province.(4)In the decoupling relationship between ecological footprint and economic growth,the frequencies of strong decoupling,expansion connection,and weak decoupling were 22.222%,11.111%,and 66.667%,respectively.
作者
王建事
程钰
王鑫静
丁立
WANG Jianshi;CHENG Yu;WANG Xinjing;DING Li(College of Geography and Environment Sciences,Shandong Normal University,Jinan Shandong 250014,China)
出处
《生态经济》
北大核心
2020年第3期173-178,213,共7页
Ecological Economy
基金
国家自然科学基金项目“中国东部地带欠发达地区污染密集型产业空间演变机理、环境效应与优化调控研究”(41871121)
国家自然科学基金项目“环境规制作用下中小尺度区域污染产业空间演化对绿色经济效率的影响及情景模拟”(41501124)
山东师范大学研究生科研创新基金项目“环境规制对区域产业结构升级的影响研究”(SCX201950)。
关键词
生态足迹
时空演变
因素分解
山东省
ecological footprint
spatial-temporal evolution
factor decomposition
Shandong Province
